利用多元回归模型预测铁矿石价格(英文）

TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Figures ............................................................................................................................. ii List of Tables ............................................................................................................................. iii Chapter 1: Introduction............................................................................................................... 3 1.1 Iron Ore ............................................................................................................................. 3 1.1 Brief History of Iron Ore Trade ....................................................................................... 5 1.2 Motivation........................................................................................................................ 9 1.3 Summary of Chapters ..................................................................................................... 10 Chapter 2: Literature Review ................................................................................................... 11 Chapter 3: Multi Regression Model ......................................................................................... 18 3.1 Introduction.................................................................................................................... 18 3.2 Data ................................................................................................................................ 19 3.3 Assumptions.................................................................................................................... 19 3.4 Developing Multi Regression Model............................................................................. 27 3.4.1 Fit of the regression model .......................................................................................... 28 3.4.2 Statistical inferences for the model ............................................................................. 30 3.4.3 ANOVA Table for Multiple Regression..................................................................... 31 3.5 Interim analysis of results............................................................................................... 32 3.6 Stepwise Regression Model ........................................................................................... 33 Chapter 4: Analysis of Results ................................................................................................. 38 4.1 Results from Step-wise Regression Model .................................................................... 38 4.2 Validation of Step-wise Regression Model ................................................................... 38 Chapter 5: Conclusion .............................................................................................................. 43 Bibliography............................................................................................................................. 44 Appendix 1............................................................................................................................... 47